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KK vs 55

KK
VS
55
80.4%
equity for KK — 55 takes 19.6%

Pair over pair — the higher pair is roughly an 80/20 favourite.

KK Win
80.2%
Tie
0.4%
KK Lose
19.4%
Card combinations
36
KK vs random
82.5% · #2
55 vs random
60.3% · #27
Breakdown

Win, tie and loss for KK

Win 80.2%Lose 19.4%

When KK and 55 get all in before the flop, KK wins 80.4% of the time and 55 takes 19.6%. Broken down, KK wins outright 80.2%, chops 0.4% and loses 19.4% — a margin of 60.8 points. Pair over pair — the higher pair is roughly an 80/20 favourite.

The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 79.8% (for example Ks Kh against 5d 5c); with both suits shared it is 81.1% (Ks Kh against 5s 5h). That is a spread of 1.34 points across the 36 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.

Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes KK 67.8%, 55 17.5%, random 14.6%. KK gives up 12.6 points and 55 gives up 2, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.

Taken on their own, KK is worth 82.5% against a random hand (rank 2 of 169) and 55 is worth 60.3% (rank 27). The gap between them in the ranking is only 22.2 points, yet head to head the gap is 60.8 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.

Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, KK scoops roughly 80 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 19. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, KK would be down to 29.6% and 55 to 13.2%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.

From 55's side, 19.6% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 4.1:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 19.6% of the pot you are playing for. KK holds the other 80.4% of that same pot.

Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 36 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes 55 really does hold exactly 55; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, KK's 80.4% moves. Use the individual pages for KK and 55 to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.

By shared suits

Overlapping suits move the number

200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.

ConditionExampleCombosKK EquityWinTieLose
No shared suitKs Kh vs 5d 5c679.8%79.6%0.3%20.1%
One shared suitKs Kh vs 5s 5d2480.4%80.2%0.4%19.4%
Both suits sharedKs Kh vs 5s 5h681.1%80.9%0.5%18.6%
Flop and turn

Who leads on each street, and how often it flips

Exact counts from the 48 unseen cards: all 17,296 flops × 990 turn-and-river pairs, and all 194,580 four-card turns × 44 rivers, for every suit combination — no simulation.

When the three flop cards are out, KK is ahead 88.8% of the time and 55 11.2%, and the two hands are never level on the flop. "Ahead" means the better best-five-card hand from the cards showing plus the two hole cards; draws are not counted.

When KK leads on the flop, 55 comes back on the turn and river 10.6% of the time. When 55 leads on the flop, KK turns it around 11.1% of the time. The hand in front holds on to win 88.9% of the time from the flop and 93.1% from the turn (level spots left out).

With the turn out, KK leads 85.1% and 55 14.9%. Counted exhaustively, KK finishes with 80.48% equity (the 80.4% at the top of the page is a 200,000-hand simulation).

On the flop — lead holds 88.9%, flips 10.7%
After the flopHow oftenKK winsTie55 wins
KK ahead88.8%89.0%0.355%10.6%
Level (same hand)0%Never happens
55 ahead11.2%11.1%0.901%88.0%
On the turn — lead holds 93.1%, flips 6.47%
After the turnHow oftenKK winsTie55 wins
KK ahead85.1%93.2%0.277%6.48%
Level (same hand)0%Never happens
55 ahead14.9%6.42%1.21%92.4%

"Ahead" compares the best five-card hands available at that point (draws are not counted). "Flips" is the share of leads that end in a loss, with level spots left out.

Three-way

Adding a random third hand

200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.

KK
67.8%
vs heads-up -12.6pt
55
17.5%
vs heads-up -2.0pt
Random third hand
14.6%
Player count

At a bigger table

Random opponentsKK55
182.5%60.3%
268.9%40.1%
449.3%22.6%
829.6%13.2%

Related

FAQ

KK or 55 — which is ahead preflop?

KK is the favourite. KK takes 80.4% and 55 19.6%, a margin of 60.8 points, with 0.4% of hands ending in a chop.

Do the suits change KK vs 55?

Yes. With no shared suit it is 79.8%, and with both suits shared it is 81.1% — a swing of up to 1.34 points.

What happens three-way?

With one extra random hand in the pot the split is KK 67.8%, 55 17.5%, random 14.6%. KK drops 12.6 points compared with heads-up.

How often does the flop leader lose in KK vs 55?

The hand ahead on the flop goes on to lose 10.7% of the time (level spots left out). When KK leads, 55 comes back 10.6%. When 55 leads, KK comes back 11.1%. Exact counts over every flop, turn and river.

429 words / 30 distinct figures — Method