QQ vs 76s
Overpair against two undercards — about 80/20 for the pair.
- QQ Win
- 77.8%
- Tie
- 0.3%
- QQ Lose
- 21.9%
- Card combinations
- 24
- QQ vs random
- 79.9% · #3
- 76s vs random
- 45.5% · #115
Win, tie and loss for QQ
When QQ and 76s get all in before the flop, QQ wins 78.0% of the time and 76s takes 22.0%. Broken down, QQ wins outright 77.8%, chops 0.3% and loses 21.9% — a margin of 55.9 points. Overpair against two undercards — about 80/20 for the pair.
The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 77.4% (for example Qs Qh against 7d 6d); with one shared suit it is 78.5% (Qs Qh against 7s 6s). That is a spread of 1.06 points across the 24 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.
Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes QQ 63.6%, 76s 19.9%, random 16.5%. QQ gives up 14.4 points and 76s gives up 2.1, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.
Taken on their own, QQ is worth 79.9% against a random hand (rank 3 of 169) and 76s is worth 45.5% (rank 115). The gap between them in the ranking is only 34.4 points, yet head to head the gap is 55.9 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.
Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, QQ scoops roughly 78 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 22. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, QQ would be down to 24.5% and 76s to 13.3%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.
From 76s's side, 22.0% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 3.55:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 22.0% of the pot you are playing for. QQ holds the other 78.0% of that same pot.
Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 24 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes 76s really does hold exactly 76s; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, QQ's 78.0% moves. Use the individual pages for QQ and 76s to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.
Overlapping suits move the number
200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.
| Condition | Example | Combos | QQ Equity | Win | Tie | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No shared suit | Qs Qh vs 7d 6d | 12 | 77.4% | 77.3% | 0.3% | 22.4% |
| One shared suit | Qs Qh vs 7s 6s | 12 | 78.5% | 78.3% | 0.4% | 21.3% |
Who leads on each street, and how often it flips
Exact counts from the 48 unseen cards: all 17,296 flops × 990 turn-and-river pairs, and all 194,580 four-card turns × 44 rivers, for every suit combination — no simulation.
When the three flop cards are out, QQ is ahead 94.1% of the time and 76s 5.87%, and the two hands are never level on the flop. "Ahead" means the better best-five-card hand from the cards showing plus the two hole cards; draws are not counted.
When QQ leads on the flop, 76s comes back on the turn and river 18.1% of the time. When 76s leads on the flop, QQ turns it around 16.9% of the time. The hand in front holds on to win 81.6% of the time from the flop and 88.2% from the turn (level spots left out).
With the turn out, QQ leads 86.6% and 76s 13.4%. Counted exhaustively, QQ finishes with 77.94% equity (the 78.0% at the top of the page is a 200,000-hand simulation).
| After the flop | How often | QQ wins | Tie | 76s wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ ahead | 94.1% | 81.6% | 0.310% | 18.1% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| 76s ahead | 5.87% | 16.9% | 1.02% | 82.0% |
| After the turn | How often | QQ wins | Tie | 76s wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQ ahead | 86.6% | 88.2% | 0.237% | 11.5% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| 76s ahead | 13.4% | 10.5% | 1.08% | 88.4% |
"Ahead" compares the best five-card hands available at that point (draws are not counted). "Flips" is the share of leads that end in a loss, with level spots left out.
Adding a random third hand
200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.
At a bigger table
| Random opponents | 76s | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79.9% | 45.5% |
| 2 | 65.0% | 31.9% |
| 4 | 44.9% | 20.7% |
| 8 | 24.5% | 13.3% |
Related
FAQ
QQ or 76s — which is ahead preflop?
QQ is the favourite. QQ takes 78.0% and 76s 22.0%, a margin of 55.9 points, with 0.3% of hands ending in a chop.
Do the suits change QQ vs 76s?
Yes. With no shared suit it is 77.4%, and with one shared suit it is 78.5% — a swing of up to 1.06 points.
What happens three-way?
With one extra random hand in the pot the split is QQ 63.6%, 76s 19.9%, random 16.5%. QQ drops 14.4 points compared with heads-up.
How often does the flop leader lose in QQ vs 76s?
The hand ahead on the flop goes on to lose 18.1% of the time (level spots left out). When QQ leads, 76s comes back 18.1%. When 76s leads, QQ comes back 16.9%. Exact counts over every flop, turn and river.
427 words / 33 distinct figures — Method