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AKo vs QJs

AKo
VS
QJs
61.2%
equity for AKo — QJs takes 38.8%

Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.

AKo Win
60.9%
Tie
0.5%
AKo Lose
38.6%
Card combinations
48
AKo vs random
65.4% · #12
QJs vs random
60.0% · #28
Breakdown

Win, tie and loss for AKo

Win 60.9%Lose 38.6%

When AKo and QJs get all in before the flop, AKo wins 61.2% of the time and QJs takes 38.8%. Broken down, AKo wins outright 60.9%, chops 0.5% and loses 38.6% — a margin of 22.3 points. Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.

The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 60.4% (for example As Kh against Qd Jd); with one shared suit it is 62.0% (As Kh against Qs Js). That is a spread of 1.6 points across the 48 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.

Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AKo 45.0%, QJs 34.1%, random 20.9%. AKo gives up 16.2 points and QJs gives up 4.8, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.

Taken on their own, AKo is worth 65.4% against a random hand (rank 12 of 169) and QJs is worth 60.0% (rank 28). The gap between them in the ranking is only 5.4 points, yet head to head the gap is 22.3 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.

Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AKo scoops roughly 61 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 39. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AKo would be down to 19.1% and QJs to 18.6%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.

From QJs's side, 38.8% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 1.58:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 38.8% of the pot you are playing for. AKo holds the other 61.2% of that same pot.

Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 48 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes QJs really does hold exactly QJs; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AKo's 61.2% moves. Use the individual pages for AKo and QJs to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.

By shared suits

Overlapping suits move the number

200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.

ConditionExampleCombosAKo EquityWinTieLose
No shared suitAs Kh vs Qd Jd2460.4%60.1%0.5%39.4%
One shared suitAs Kh vs Qs Js2462.0%61.7%0.5%37.8%
Three-way

Adding a random third hand

200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.

AKo
45.0%
vs heads-up -16.2pt
QJs
34.1%
vs heads-up -4.8pt
Random third hand
20.9%
Player count

At a bigger table

Random opponentsAKoQJs
165.4%60.0%
247.9%44.1%
432.4%30.3%
819.1%18.6%

Related

FAQ

AKo or QJs — which is ahead preflop?

AKo is the favourite. AKo takes 61.2% and QJs 38.8%, a margin of 22.3 points, with 0.5% of hands ending in a chop.

Do the suits change AKo vs QJs?

Yes. With no shared suit it is 60.4%, and with one shared suit it is 62.0% — a swing of up to 1.6 points.

What happens three-way?

With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AKo 45.0%, QJs 34.1%, random 20.9%. AKo drops 16.2 points compared with heads-up.

431 words / 30 distinct figures — Method