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AQo vs JTs

AQo
VS
JTs
59.6%
equity for AQo — JTs takes 40.4%

Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.

AQo Win
59.4%
Tie
0.5%
AQo Lose
40.1%
Card combinations
48
AQo vs random
64.4% · #14
JTs vs random
57.5% · #46
Breakdown

Win, tie and loss for AQo

Win 59.4%Lose 40.1%

When AQo and JTs get all in before the flop, AQo wins 59.6% of the time and JTs takes 40.4%. Broken down, AQo wins outright 59.4%, chops 0.5% and loses 40.1% — a margin of 19.3 points. Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.

The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 59.0% (for example As Qh against Jd Td); with one shared suit it is 60.3% (As Qh against Js Ts). That is a spread of 1.34 points across the 48 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.

Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AQo 43.2%, JTs 34.5%, random 22.4%. AQo gives up 16.5 points and JTs gives up 5.9, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.

Taken on their own, AQo is worth 64.4% against a random hand (rank 14 of 169) and JTs is worth 57.5% (rank 46). The gap between them in the ranking is only 6.9 points, yet head to head the gap is 19.3 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.

Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AQo scoops roughly 59 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 40. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AQo would be down to 17.5% and JTs to 18.1%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.

From JTs's side, 40.4% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 1.48:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 40.4% of the pot you are playing for. AQo holds the other 59.6% of that same pot.

Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 48 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes JTs really does hold exactly JTs; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AQo's 59.6% moves. Use the individual pages for AQo and JTs to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.

By shared suits

Overlapping suits move the number

200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.

ConditionExampleCombosAQo EquityWinTieLose
No shared suitAs Qh vs Jd Td2459.0%58.8%0.4%40.8%
One shared suitAs Qh vs Js Ts2460.3%60.1%0.5%39.4%
Three-way

Adding a random third hand

200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.

AQo
43.2%
vs heads-up -16.5pt
JTs
34.5%
vs heads-up -5.9pt
Random third hand
22.4%
Player count

At a bigger table

Random opponentsAQoJTs
164.4%57.5%
246.9%41.9%
430.3%28.5%
817.5%18.1%

Related

FAQ

AQo or JTs — which is ahead preflop?

AQo is the favourite. AQo takes 59.6% and JTs 40.4%, a margin of 19.3 points, with 0.5% of hands ending in a chop.

Do the suits change AQo vs JTs?

Yes. With no shared suit it is 59.0%, and with one shared suit it is 60.3% — a swing of up to 1.34 points.

What happens three-way?

With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AQo 43.2%, JTs 34.5%, random 22.4%. AQo drops 16.5 points compared with heads-up.

431 words / 30 distinct figures — Method