AQo vs JTs
Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.
- AQo Win
- 59.4%
- Tie
- 0.5%
- AQo Lose
- 40.1%
- Card combinations
- 48
- AQo vs random
- 64.4% · #14
- JTs vs random
- 57.5% · #46
Win, tie and loss for AQo
When AQo and JTs get all in before the flop, AQo wins 59.6% of the time and JTs takes 40.4%. Broken down, AQo wins outright 59.4%, chops 0.5% and loses 40.1% — a margin of 19.3 points. Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.
The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 59.0% (for example As Qh against Jd Td); with one shared suit it is 60.3% (As Qh against Js Ts). That is a spread of 1.34 points across the 48 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.
Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AQo 43.2%, JTs 34.5%, random 22.4%. AQo gives up 16.5 points and JTs gives up 5.9, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.
Taken on their own, AQo is worth 64.4% against a random hand (rank 14 of 169) and JTs is worth 57.5% (rank 46). The gap between them in the ranking is only 6.9 points, yet head to head the gap is 19.3 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.
Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AQo scoops roughly 59 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 40. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AQo would be down to 17.5% and JTs to 18.1%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.
From JTs's side, 40.4% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 1.48:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 40.4% of the pot you are playing for. AQo holds the other 59.6% of that same pot.
Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 48 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes JTs really does hold exactly JTs; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AQo's 59.6% moves. Use the individual pages for AQo and JTs to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.
Overlapping suits move the number
200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.
| Condition | Example | Combos | AQo Equity | Win | Tie | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No shared suit | As Qh vs Jd Td | 24 | 59.0% | 58.8% | 0.4% | 40.8% |
| One shared suit | As Qh vs Js Ts | 24 | 60.3% | 60.1% | 0.5% | 39.4% |
Who leads on each street, and how often it flips
Exact counts from the 48 unseen cards: all 17,296 flops × 990 turn-and-river pairs, and all 194,580 four-card turns × 44 rivers, for every suit combination — no simulation.
When the three flop cards are out, AQo is ahead 72.7% of the time and JTs 27.3%, and the two hands are never level on the flop. "Ahead" means the better best-five-card hand from the cards showing plus the two hole cards; draws are not counted.
When AQo leads on the flop, JTs comes back on the turn and river 26.3% of the time. When JTs leads on the flop, AQo turns it around 23.3% of the time. The hand in front holds on to win 74.1% of the time from the flop and 84.3% from the turn (level spots left out).
With the turn out, AQo leads 65.9% and JTs 34.1%. Counted exhaustively, AQo finishes with 59.73% equity (the 59.6% at the top of the page is a 200,000-hand simulation).
| After the flop | How often | AQo wins | Tie | JTs wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo ahead | 72.7% | 73.1% | 0.552% | 26.3% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| JTs ahead | 27.3% | 23.3% | 0.203% | 76.5% |
| After the turn | How often | AQo wins | Tie | JTs wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo ahead | 65.9% | 83.3% | 0.590% | 16.1% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| JTs ahead | 34.1% | 13.5% | 0.196% | 86.4% |
"Ahead" compares the best five-card hands available at that point (draws are not counted). "Flips" is the share of leads that end in a loss, with level spots left out.
Adding a random third hand
200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.
At a bigger table
| Random opponents | AQo | JTs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64.4% | 57.5% |
| 2 | 46.9% | 41.9% |
| 4 | 30.3% | 28.5% |
| 8 | 17.5% | 18.1% |
Related
FAQ
AQo or JTs — which is ahead preflop?
AQo is the favourite. AQo takes 59.6% and JTs 40.4%, a margin of 19.3 points, with 0.5% of hands ending in a chop.
Do the suits change AQo vs JTs?
Yes. With no shared suit it is 59.0%, and with one shared suit it is 60.3% — a swing of up to 1.34 points.
What happens three-way?
With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AQo 43.2%, JTs 34.5%, random 22.4%. AQo drops 16.5 points compared with heads-up.
How often does the flop leader lose in AQo vs JTs?
The hand ahead on the flop goes on to lose 25.5% of the time (level spots left out). When AQo leads, JTs comes back 26.3%. When JTs leads, AQo comes back 23.3%. Exact counts over every flop, turn and river.
431 words / 30 distinct figures — Method