66 vs KQo
Pair against two overcards — the classic coinflip, with the pair a shade ahead.
- 66 Win
- 53.2%
- Tie
- 0.4%
- 66 Lose
- 46.4%
- Card combinations
- 72
- 66 vs random
- 63.3% · #17
- KQo vs random
- 61.5% · #23
Win, tie and loss for 66
When 66 and KQo get all in before the flop, 66 wins 53.4% of the time and KQo takes 46.6%. Broken down, 66 wins outright 53.2%, chops 0.4% and loses 46.4% — a margin of 6.8 points. Pair against two overcards — the classic coinflip, with the pair a shade ahead.
The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With both suits shared the number is 53.1% (for example 6s 6h against Ks Qh); with no shared suit it is 53.9% (6s 6h against Kd Qc). That is a spread of 0.83 points across the 72 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.
Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes 66 38.9%, KQo 39.3%, random 21.8%. 66 gives up 14.6 points and KQo gives up 7.3, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.
Taken on their own, 66 is worth 63.3% against a random hand (rank 17 of 169) and KQo is worth 61.5% (rank 23). The gap between them in the ranking is only 1.8 points, yet head to head the gap is 6.8 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.
Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, 66 scoops roughly 53 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 46. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, 66 would be down to 13.7% and KQo to 16.7%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.
From KQo's side, 46.6% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 1.15:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 46.6% of the pot you are playing for. 66 holds the other 53.4% of that same pot.
Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 72 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes KQo really does hold exactly KQo; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, 66's 53.4% moves. Use the individual pages for 66 and KQo to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.
Overlapping suits move the number
200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.
| Condition | Example | Combos | 66 Equity | Win | Tie | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No shared suit | 6s 6h vs Kd Qc | 12 | 53.9% | 53.8% | 0.4% | 45.9% |
| One shared suit | 6s 6h vs Ks Qd | 48 | 53.4% | 53.2% | 0.4% | 46.4% |
| Both suits shared | 6s 6h vs Ks Qh | 12 | 53.1% | 52.8% | 0.6% | 46.6% |
Who leads on each street, and how often it flips
Exact counts from the 48 unseen cards: all 17,296 flops × 990 turn-and-river pairs, and all 194,580 four-card turns × 44 rivers, for every suit combination — no simulation.
When the three flop cards are out, 66 is ahead 68.6% of the time and KQo 31.4%, and the two hands are never level on the flop. "Ahead" means the better best-five-card hand from the cards showing plus the two hole cards; draws are not counted.
When 66 leads on the flop, KQo comes back on the turn and river 26.6% of the time. When KQo leads on the flop, 66 turns it around 10.4% of the time. The hand in front holds on to win 78.0% of the time from the flop and 87.7% from the turn (level spots left out).
With the turn out, 66 leads 60.5% and KQo 39.5%. Counted exhaustively, 66 finishes with 53.48% equity (the 53.4% at the top of the page is a 200,000-hand simulation).
| After the flop | How often | 66 wins | Tie | KQo wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 ahead | 68.6% | 72.8% | 0.507% | 26.6% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| KQo ahead | 31.4% | 10.4% | 0.306% | 89.3% |
| After the turn | How often | 66 wins | Tie | KQo wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 ahead | 60.5% | 83.9% | 0.501% | 15.6% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| KQo ahead | 39.5% | 6.19% | 0.356% | 93.5% |
"Ahead" compares the best five-card hands available at that point (draws are not counted). "Flips" is the share of leads that end in a loss, with level spots left out.
Adding a random third hand
200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.
At a bigger table
| Random opponents | 66 | KQo |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63.3% | 61.5% |
| 2 | 43.0% | 44.4% |
| 4 | 24.7% | 29.2% |
| 8 | 13.7% | 16.7% |
Related
FAQ
66 or KQo — which is ahead preflop?
66 is the favourite. 66 takes 53.4% and KQo 46.6%, a margin of 6.8 points, with 0.4% of hands ending in a chop.
Do the suits change 66 vs KQo?
Yes. With both suits shared it is 53.1%, and with no shared suit it is 53.9% — a swing of up to 0.83 points.
What happens three-way?
With one extra random hand in the pot the split is 66 38.9%, KQo 39.3%, random 21.8%. 66 drops 14.6 points compared with heads-up.
How often does the flop leader lose in 66 vs KQo?
The hand ahead on the flop goes on to lose 21.6% of the time (level spots left out). When 66 leads, KQo comes back 26.6%. When KQo leads, 66 comes back 10.4%. Exact counts over every flop, turn and river.
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