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AKo vs 32o

AKo
VS
32o
65.9%
equity for AKo — 32o takes 34.1%

Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.

AKo Win
65.6%
Tie
0.6%
AKo Lose
33.8%
Card combinations
144
AKo vs random
65.4% · #12
32o vs random
32.3% · #169
Breakdown

Win, tie and loss for AKo

Win 65.6%Lose 33.8%

When AKo and 32o get all in before the flop, AKo wins 65.9% of the time and 32o takes 34.1%. Broken down, AKo wins outright 65.6%, chops 0.6% and loses 33.8% — a margin of 31.8 points. Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.

The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 65.5% (for example As Kh against 3d 2c); with both suits shared it is 66.3% (As Kh against 3s 2h). That is a spread of 0.79 points across the 144 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.

Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AKo 49.3%, 32o 21.3%, random 29.4%. AKo gives up 16.7 points and 32o gives up 12.8, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.

Taken on their own, AKo is worth 65.4% against a random hand (rank 12 of 169) and 32o is worth 32.3% (rank 169). The gap between them in the ranking is only 33.1 points, yet head to head the gap is 31.8 points, which is roughly what the ranking table predicts.

Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AKo scoops roughly 66 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 34. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AKo would be down to 19.1% and 32o to 6.2%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.

From 32o's side, 34.1% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 1.93:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 34.1% of the pot you are playing for. AKo holds the other 65.9% of that same pot.

Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 144 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes 32o really does hold exactly 32o; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AKo's 65.9% moves. Use the individual pages for AKo and 32o to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.

By shared suits

Overlapping suits move the number

200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.

ConditionExampleCombosAKo EquityWinTieLose
No shared suitAs Kh vs 3d 2c2465.5%65.2%0.5%34.2%
One shared suitAs Kh vs 3s 2d9665.9%65.7%0.6%33.8%
Both suits sharedAs Kh vs 3s 2h2466.3%66.0%0.6%33.4%
Three-way

Adding a random third hand

200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.

AKo
49.3%
vs heads-up -16.6pt
32o
21.3%
vs heads-up -12.8pt
Random third hand
29.4%
Player count

At a bigger table

Random opponentsAKo32o
165.4%32.3%
247.9%19.3%
432.4%11.1%
819.1%6.2%

Related

FAQ

AKo or 32o — which is ahead preflop?

AKo is the favourite. AKo takes 65.9% and 32o 34.1%, a margin of 31.8 points, with 0.6% of hands ending in a chop.

Do the suits change AKo vs 32o?

Yes. With no shared suit it is 65.5%, and with both suits shared it is 66.3% — a swing of up to 0.79 points.

What happens three-way?

With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AKo 49.3%, 32o 21.3%, random 29.4%. AKo drops 16.7 points compared with heads-up.

424 words / 32 distinct figures — Method