AKo vs KQs
Domination — a shared rank turns this into a kicker fight, and kicker fights are lopsided.
- AKo Win
- 69.8%
- Tie
- 1.1%
- AKo Lose
- 29.0%
- Card combinations
- 36
- AKo vs random
- 65.4% · #12
- KQs vs random
- 63.4% · #16
Win, tie and loss for AKo
When AKo and KQs get all in before the flop, AKo wins 70.4% of the time and KQs takes 29.6%. Broken down, AKo wins outright 69.8%, chops 1.1% and loses 29.0% — a margin of 40.8 points. Domination — a shared rank turns this into a kicker fight, and kicker fights are lopsided.
The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 69.8% (for example As Kh against Kd Qd); with one shared suit it is 71.6% (As Kh against Ks Qs). That is a spread of 1.79 points across the 36 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.
Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AKo 46.5%, KQs 26.2%, random 27.3%. AKo gives up 23.9 points and KQs gives up 3.4, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.
Taken on their own, AKo is worth 65.4% against a random hand (rank 12 of 169) and KQs is worth 63.4% (rank 16). The gap between them in the ranking is only 2 points, yet head to head the gap is 40.8 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.
Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AKo scoops roughly 70 pots, splits about 1, and loses the remaining 29. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AKo would be down to 19.1% and KQs to 20.4%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.
From KQs's side, 29.6% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 2.38:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 29.6% of the pot you are playing for. AKo holds the other 70.4% of that same pot.
Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 36 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes KQs really does hold exactly KQs; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AKo's 70.4% moves. Use the individual pages for AKo and KQs to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.
Overlapping suits move the number
200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.
| Condition | Example | Combos | AKo Equity | Win | Tie | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No shared suit | As Kh vs Kd Qd | 24 | 69.8% | 69.3% | 1.1% | 29.6% |
| One shared suit | As Kh vs Ks Qs | 12 | 71.6% | 71.0% | 1.2% | 27.8% |
Adding a random third hand
200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.
At a bigger table
| Random opponents | AKo | KQs |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65.4% | 63.4% |
| 2 | 47.9% | 47.2% |
| 4 | 32.4% | 32.3% |
| 8 | 19.1% | 20.4% |
Related
FAQ
AKo or KQs — which is ahead preflop?
AKo is the favourite. AKo takes 70.4% and KQs 29.6%, a margin of 40.8 points, with 1.1% of hands ending in a chop.
Do the suits change AKo vs KQs?
Yes. With no shared suit it is 69.8%, and with one shared suit it is 71.6% — a swing of up to 1.79 points.
What happens three-way?
With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AKo 46.5%, KQs 26.2%, random 27.3%. AKo drops 23.9 points compared with heads-up.
433 words / 27 distinct figures — Method
