AKs vs 65s
Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.
- AKs Win
- 60.8%
- Tie
- 0.5%
- AKs Lose
- 38.7%
- Card combinations
- 16
- AKs vs random
- 67.2% · #8
- 65s vs random
- 43.0% · #128
Win, tie and loss for AKs
When AKs and 65s get all in before the flop, AKs wins 61.0% of the time and 65s takes 39.0%. Broken down, AKs wins outright 60.8%, chops 0.5% and loses 38.7% — a margin of 22.1 points. Two unpaired hands with no shared rank — the higher cards usually run 60–65%.
The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 60.3% (for example As Ks against 6h 5h); with one shared suit it is 63.2% (As Ks against 6s 5s). That is a spread of 2.9 points across the 16 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.
Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AKs 48.2%, 65s 29.2%, random 22.6%. AKs gives up 12.8 points and 65s gives up 9.8, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.
Taken on their own, AKs is worth 67.2% against a random hand (rank 8 of 169) and 65s is worth 43.0% (rank 128). The gap between them in the ranking is only 24.2 points, yet head to head the gap is 22.1 points, which is roughly what the ranking table predicts.
Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AKs scoops roughly 61 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 39. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AKs would be down to 22.4% and 65s to 12.6%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.
From 65s's side, 39.0% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 1.56:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 39.0% of the pot you are playing for. AKs holds the other 61.0% of that same pot.
Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 16 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes 65s really does hold exactly 65s; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AKs's 61.0% moves. Use the individual pages for AKs and 65s to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.
Overlapping suits move the number
200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.
| Condition | Example | Combos | AKs Equity | Win | Tie | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No shared suit | As Ks vs 6h 5h | 12 | 60.3% | 60.1% | 0.5% | 39.5% |
| One shared suit | As Ks vs 6s 5s | 4 | 63.2% | 62.9% | 0.6% | 36.5% |
Adding a random third hand
200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.
At a bigger table
| Random opponents | AKs | 65s |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67.2% | 43.0% |
| 2 | 50.3% | 30.1% |
| 4 | 35.4% | 19.5% |
| 8 | 22.4% | 12.6% |
Related
FAQ
AKs or 65s — which is ahead preflop?
AKs is the favourite. AKs takes 61.0% and 65s 39.0%, a margin of 22.1 points, with 0.5% of hands ending in a chop.
Do the suits change AKs vs 65s?
Yes. With no shared suit it is 60.3%, and with one shared suit it is 63.2% — a swing of up to 2.9 points.
What happens three-way?
With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AKs 48.2%, 65s 29.2%, random 22.6%. AKs drops 12.8 points compared with heads-up.
424 words / 32 distinct figures — Method