169hands
MENU
MATCHUPPREFLOPALL-IN

AKs vs 66

AKs
VS
66
47.7%
equity for AKs — 66 takes 52.3%

Pair against two overcards — the classic coinflip, with the pair a shade ahead.

AKs Win
47.5%
Tie
0.4%
AKs Lose
52.1%
Card combinations
24
AKs vs random
67.2% · #8
66 vs random
63.3% · #17
Breakdown

Win, tie and loss for AKs

Win 47.5%Lose 52.1%

When AKs and 66 get all in before the flop, AKs wins 47.7% of the time and 66 takes 52.3%. Broken down, AKs wins outright 47.5%, chops 0.4% and loses 52.1% — a margin of -4.7 points. Pair against two overcards — the classic coinflip, with the pair a shade ahead.

The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With one shared suit the number is 47.5% (for example As Ks against 6s 6h); with no shared suit it is 47.9% (As Ks against 6h 6d). That is a spread of 0.42 points across the 24 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.

Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AKs 41.6%, 66 38.0%, random 20.4%. AKs gives up 6.1 points and 66 gives up 14.3, so the underdog loses more than the favourite does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.

Taken on their own, AKs is worth 67.2% against a random hand (rank 8 of 169) and 66 is worth 63.3% (rank 17). The gap between them in the ranking is only 3.9 points, yet head to head the gap is 4.7 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.

Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AKs scoops roughly 47 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 52. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AKs would be down to 22.4% and 66 to 13.7%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.

From 66's side, 52.3% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 0.91:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 52.3% of the pot you are playing for. AKs holds the other 47.7% of that same pot.

Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 24 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes 66 really does hold exactly 66; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AKs's 47.7% moves. Use the individual pages for AKs and 66 to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.

By shared suits

Overlapping suits move the number

200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.

ConditionExampleCombosAKs EquityWinTieLose
No shared suitAs Ks vs 6h 6d1247.9%47.7%0.4%51.9%
One shared suitAs Ks vs 6s 6h1247.5%47.2%0.5%52.3%
Three-way

Adding a random third hand

200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.

AKs
41.6%
vs heads-up -6.1pt
66
38.0%
vs heads-up -14.3pt
Random third hand
20.4%
Player count

At a bigger table

Random opponentsAKs66
167.2%63.3%
250.3%43.0%
435.4%24.7%
822.4%13.7%

Related

FAQ

AKs or 66 — which is ahead preflop?

66 is the favourite. AKs takes 47.7% and 66 52.3%, a margin of 4.7 points, with 0.4% of hands ending in a chop.

Do the suits change AKs vs 66?

Yes. With one shared suit it is 47.5%, and with no shared suit it is 47.9% — a swing of up to 0.42 points.

What happens three-way?

With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AKs 41.6%, 66 38.0%, random 20.4%. AKs drops 6.1 points compared with heads-up.

431 words / 29 distinct figures — Method