AQo vs AJo
Domination — a shared rank turns this into a kicker fight, and kicker fights are lopsided.
- AQo Win
- 71.0%
- Tie
- 5.8%
- AQo Lose
- 23.2%
- Card combinations
- 108
- AQo vs random
- 64.4% · #14
- AJo vs random
- 63.6% · #15
Win, tie and loss for AQo
When AQo and AJo get all in before the flop, AQo wins 73.9% of the time and AJo takes 26.1%. Broken down, AQo wins outright 71.0%, chops 5.8% and loses 23.2% — a margin of 47.8 points. Domination — a shared rank turns this into a kicker fight, and kicker fights are lopsided.
The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 73.5% (for example As Qh against Ad Jc); with both suits shared it is 74.2% (As Qh against Ah Js). That is a spread of 0.68 points across the 108 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.
Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes AQo 47.4%, AJo 22.1%, random 30.5%. AQo gives up 26.5 points and AJo gives up 4, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.
Taken on their own, AQo is worth 64.4% against a random hand (rank 14 of 169) and AJo is worth 63.6% (rank 15). The gap between them in the ranking is only 0.8 points, yet head to head the gap is 47.8 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.
Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, AQo scoops roughly 71 pots, splits about 6, and loses the remaining 23. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, AQo would be down to 17.5% and AJo to 16.1%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.
From AJo's side, 26.1% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 2.83:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 26.1% of the pot you are playing for. AQo holds the other 73.9% of that same pot.
Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 108 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes AJo really does hold exactly AJo; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, AQo's 73.9% moves. Use the individual pages for AQo and AJo to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.
Overlapping suits move the number
200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.
| Condition | Example | Combos | AQo Equity | Win | Tie | Lose |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No shared suit | As Qh vs Ad Jc | 24 | 73.5% | 70.7% | 5.7% | 23.6% |
| One shared suit | As Qh vs Ah Jd | 72 | 74.0% | 71.0% | 5.9% | 23.1% |
| Both suits shared | As Qh vs Ah Js | 12 | 74.2% | 71.3% | 5.8% | 22.9% |
Who leads on each street, and how often it flips
Exact counts from the 48 unseen cards: all 17,296 flops × 990 turn-and-river pairs, and all 194,580 four-card turns × 44 rivers, for every suit combination — no simulation.
When the three flop cards are out, AQo is ahead 84.3% of the time and AJo 15.7%, and the two hands are never level on the flop. "Ahead" means the better best-five-card hand from the cards showing plus the two hole cards; draws are not counted.
When AQo leads on the flop, AJo comes back on the turn and river 12.8% of the time. When AJo leads on the flop, AQo turns it around 20.0% of the time. The hand in front holds on to win 80.3% of the time from the flop and 86.9% from the turn (level spots left out).
With the turn out, AQo leads 79.0% and AJo 19.6%. Counted exhaustively, AQo finishes with 73.91% equity (the 73.9% at the top of the page is a 200,000-hand simulation).
| After the flop | How often | AQo wins | Tie | AJo wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo ahead | 84.3% | 80.5% | 6.67% | 12.8% |
| Level (same hand) | 0% | Never happens | ||
| AJo ahead | 15.7% | 20.0% | 1.03% | 79.0% |
| After the turn | How often | AQo wins | Tie | AJo wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQo ahead | 79.0% | 86.8% | 5.62% | 7.59% |
| Level (same hand) | 1.43% | 9.61% | 84.5% | 5.91% |
| AJo ahead | 19.6% | 11.7% | 0.716% | 87.6% |
"Ahead" compares the best five-card hands available at that point (draws are not counted). "Flips" is the share of leads that end in a loss, with level spots left out.
Adding a random third hand
200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.
At a bigger table
| Random opponents | AQo | AJo |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64.4% | 63.6% |
| 2 | 46.9% | 45.4% |
| 4 | 30.3% | 28.7% |
| 8 | 17.5% | 16.1% |
Related
FAQ
AQo or AJo — which is ahead preflop?
AQo is the favourite. AQo takes 73.9% and AJo 26.1%, a margin of 47.8 points, with 5.8% of hands ending in a chop.
Do the suits change AQo vs AJo?
Yes. With no shared suit it is 73.5%, and with both suits shared it is 74.2% — a swing of up to 0.68 points.
What happens three-way?
With one extra random hand in the pot the split is AQo 47.4%, AJo 22.1%, random 30.5%. AQo drops 26.5 points compared with heads-up.
How often does the flop leader lose in AQo vs AJo?
The hand ahead on the flop goes on to lose 13.9% of the time (level spots left out). When AQo leads, AJo comes back 12.8%. When AJo leads, AQo comes back 20.0%. Exact counts over every flop, turn and river.
433 words / 29 distinct figures — Method