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KK vs AQo

KK
VS
AQo
71.8%
equity for KK — AQo takes 28.2%

Pair against one overcard — roughly 70/30 in the pair's favour.

KK Win
71.6%
Tie
0.4%
KK Lose
28.0%
Card combinations
72
KK vs random
82.5% · #2
AQo vs random
64.4% · #14
Breakdown

Win, tie and loss for KK

Win 71.6%Lose 28.0%

When KK and AQo get all in before the flop, KK wins 71.8% of the time and AQo takes 28.2%. Broken down, KK wins outright 71.6%, chops 0.4% and loses 28.0% — a margin of 43.7 points. Pair against one overcard — roughly 70/30 in the pair's favour.

The same matchup shifts depending on how the suits overlap. With no shared suit the number is 71.6% (for example Ks Kh against Ad Qc); with both suits shared it is 72.0% (Ks Kh against As Qh). That is a spread of 0.37 points across the 72 distinct card combinations, and it comes almost entirely from whether the two hands are fighting over the same flush.

Add a third player holding a random hand and the split becomes KK 61.3%, AQo 24.5%, random 14.2%. KK gives up 10.5 points and AQo gives up 3.6, so the favourite loses more than the underdog does. Extra players always eat into the leader's share faster than into anyone else's.

Taken on their own, KK is worth 82.5% against a random hand (rank 2 of 169) and AQo is worth 64.4% (rank 14). The gap between them in the ranking is only 18.1 points, yet head to head the gap is 43.7 points — a reminder that a ranking table and a direct matchup are two different questions.

Framed as a run of one hundred identical all-ins, KK scoops roughly 72 pots, splits about one, and loses the remaining 28. Against eight random opponents rather than this one specific hand, KK would be down to 29.6% and AQo to 17.5%, so the shape of this particular confrontation matters far more than either hand's standing in the overall ranking.

From AQo's side, 28.2% is the break-even point for calling an all-in at 2.55:1 pot odds. Put another way, the call is profitable as long as the amount you have to put in is less than 28.2% of the pot you are playing for. KK holds the other 71.8% of that same pot.

Two caveats keep this figure honest. First, it is showdown equity across all 72 card combinations with five board cards still to come — there is no fold equity in it, so the value of shoving in practice is usually higher than the raw percentage suggests. Second, it assumes AQo really does hold exactly AQo; against the wider range a player would actually get all in with, KK's 71.8% moves. Use the individual pages for KK and AQo to see how each of them fares against all 168 other holdings before treating this single pairing as the whole picture.

By shared suits

Overlapping suits move the number

200,000 simulated showdowns per condition. The example column shows one concrete four-card layout.

ConditionExampleCombosKK EquityWinTieLose
No shared suitKs Kh vs Ad Qc1271.6%71.4%0.3%28.2%
One shared suitKs Kh vs As Qd4871.9%71.7%0.4%27.9%
Both suits sharedKs Kh vs As Qh1272.0%71.7%0.5%27.8%
Three-way

Adding a random third hand

200,000 simulated showdowns, with the third hand dealt at random each time.

KK
61.3%
vs heads-up -10.5pt
AQo
24.5%
vs heads-up -3.6pt
Random third hand
14.2%
Player count

At a bigger table

Random opponentsKKAQo
182.5%64.4%
268.9%46.9%
449.3%30.3%
829.6%17.5%

Related

FAQ

KK or AQo — which is ahead preflop?

KK is the favourite. KK takes 71.8% and AQo 28.2%, a margin of 43.7 points, with 0.4% of hands ending in a chop.

Do the suits change KK vs AQo?

Yes. With no shared suit it is 71.6%, and with both suits shared it is 72.0% — a swing of up to 0.37 points.

What happens three-way?

With one extra random hand in the pot the split is KK 61.3%, AQo 24.5%, random 14.2%. KK drops 10.5 points compared with heads-up.

428 words / 28 distinct figures — Method