Coinflips

Here are the 60 pairings closest to a true 50/50, sorted by how near they land. The tightest is A8s vs 22 at 50.0%. Almost all of them are a pocket pair against two overcards, with the pair a fraction ahead.

Very few pairings are exactly 50.0%; even the far end of this list reads 50.4%. When you are deciding whether to get it in, pot odds and stack depth matter far more than a sub-point edge — but knowing which shapes are genuine flips removes a lot of guesswork at the table.

60 of these 60 pairings involve a pocket pair. The classic version is the one where the pair dislikes facing two live overcards and the overcards dislike having connected with nothing yet; the middle of this list sits at 50.2%, so neither side is really getting anything. That is the point — in a genuine flip the hand you hold is not what decides the spot, pot odds and stack depth are. Follow any row through to see the split by shared suits and the three-way numbers.

Of the 159 qualifying pairings, 120 have at least one suited hand. The furthest from the definition is 76o vs 22 at 51.0%, so the whole list spans just -1.0 points. A suit in the mix pushes the underdog back up by a couple of points, which is why some shapes cross the threshold in one suit configuration and not in another.

This list comes from scanning all 14,196 ways of choosing two of the 169 hands and keeping the ones that fit. 159 pairings qualified, and the page shows the 60 closest to the definition. The threshold is equity within one point of 50% in a pair-versus-non-pair confrontation. The figures are pulled from the same table that drives every hand page, so any pairing missing here can still be looked up on either hand's own page.

Everything on this page assumes the opponent holds a random hand and that the pot is played to showdown. Real opponents hold ranges and can be made to fold, so read these figures as a measure of raw strength rather than as advice on how to play the group. Each hand was simulated over 400,000 showdowns against a single opponent, and every hand-versus-hand figure enumerates all suit layouts before running 200,000 simulated boards. The method page sets out how those numbers were checked against exact enumeration.