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pocket pair

44

57.0%
Equity vs one random hand — #48 of 169

A small pair — cheap to play, huge when it flops a set.

Heads-up (1 opponent)
57.0% · #48
6-handed (5 opponents)
17.3% · #76
9-handed (8 opponents)
13.1% · #60
Chen score
5
Combos
6 / 1,326
Dealt frequency
0.45%
Favourite against
138 of 168 hands

44 (pocket fours) wins 57.0% of the time against a single random opponent, which places it 48th out of the 169 starting hands — the top 28.4% of the range. At a six-handed table (five opponents) its equity falls to 17.3% and its rank moves to 76; nine-handed (eight opponents) it holds 13.1% for rank 60. A small pair — cheap to play, huge when it flops a set.

As a pocket pair there is no suited twin; instead there are 6 combinations of it in the deck, so you are dealt it 0.45% of the time (6 of 1,326 two-card hands). The hand ranked one place above is QTo at 57.1% and one place below is K6s at 56.8%. Every pocket pair flops a set about 11.8% of the time, so the pecking order among pairs is decided almost entirely before the flop.

Played heads-up against each of the other 168 hands, 44 is a favourite against 138 of them and an underdog against 30. Its best matchup is 42o at 89.3% and its worst is 55 at 18.6% — a spread of 70.7 points, which is why calling 44 simply "strong" or "weak" says very little. 8 opponents land inside one point of a coinflip, the closest being 86s at 50.0%.

44 shares a rank with relatively few hands, so it is rarely on the wrong side of a kicker problem. What does hurt it is running into a higher pair, where the number bottoms out at 18.6%. The table further down lists all 168 opponents individually.

Within the 13 pocket pairs it comes 11 of 13. The strongest hand in that group, AA, is 28.2 points away, and the weakest, 22, sits 6.8 points below. Measured against the average equity of all 169 hands, 51%, 44 lands +6 points from the middle of the pack, and 47 hands in the full ranking are still ahead of it.

Adding players costs equity steadily: 57.0% against one opponent, 37.0% against two, 20.7% against four and 13.1% against eight. That last figure is 118% of an even nine-way share (11.1%). The Chen formula scores this hand at 5 points, and it arrives 0.45% of the time (6 of 1,326 combinations).

One caveat worth repeating: every number on this page assumes the opponent holds a completely random hand and that the pot goes to showdown. Real opponents hold ranges, and a range that has already put money in is stronger than random — which is exactly why 44 reads as 57.0% here but plays worse than that against a raise. Use the 168 rows in the table below to see which specific holdings are the problem, rather than treating the headline figure as a verdict on the hand.

By player count

Equity by opponent count

From 57.0% against one opponent down to 13.1% against eight. The x-axis is the number of opponents.

0%30%60%57.0137.0226.6320.7417.3515.3613.7713.18opponents
Matchups

Against all 168 other hands

200,000 simulated showdowns per pairing. Opponent names link to that hand's page; the shape column links to the matchup page where one exists.

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44 played heads-up against each of the other 168 hands
Opponent handOpp. rank44 equityvs 50%Shape
AA118.6%-31.4PAIR VS PAIR
KK219.0%-31.0PAIR VS PAIR
QQ319.2%-30.8PAIR VS PAIR
JJ419.0%-31.0PAIR VS PAIR
TT519.0%-31.0PAIR VS PAIR
99618.8%-31.2PAIR VS PAIR
88719.0%-31.0PAIR VS PAIR
AKs851.6%+1.6PAIR VS CARDS
77918.8%-31.2PAIR VS PAIR
AQs1051.0%+1.0COINFLIP
AJs1150.7%+0.7COINFLIP
AKo1253.8%+3.8PAIR VS CARDS
ATs1350.5%+0.5COINFLIP
AQo1453.8%+3.8PAIR VS CARDS
AJo1553.4%+3.4PAIR VS CARDS
KQs1650.1%+0.1COINFLIP
661718.6%-31.4PAIR VS PAIR
A9s1851.7%+1.7PAIR VS CARDS
ATo1952.9%+2.9PAIR VS CARDS
KJs2049.6%-0.4COINFLIP
A8s2151.6%+1.6PAIR VS CARDS
KTs2249.4%-0.6COINFLIP
KQo2352.5%+2.5PAIR VS CARDS
A7s2452.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
A9o2554.1%+4.1PAIR VS CARDS
KJo2652.2%+2.2PAIR VS CARDS
552718.6%-31.4PAIR VS PAIR
QJs2848.6%-1.4PAIR VS CARDS
A6s2952.7%+2.7PAIR VS CARDS
K9s3050.4%+0.4COINFLIP
A8o3154.3%+4.3PAIR VS CARDS
A5s3252.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
KTo3351.7%+1.7PAIR VS CARDS
QTs3448.2%-1.8PAIR VS CARDS
A4s3563.1%+13.1PAIR VS CARDS
A7o3654.4%+4.4PAIR VS CARDS
K8s3751.5%+1.5PAIR VS CARDS
A3s3865.9%+15.9PAIR VS CARDS
QJo3950.8%+0.8COINFLIP
K9o4053.0%+3.0PAIR VS CARDS
Q9s4149.7%-0.3COINFLIP
A5o4254.7%+4.7PAIR VS CARDS
A2s4366.1%+16.1PAIR VS CARDS
K7s4451.7%+1.7PAIR VS CARDS
A6o4555.1%+5.1PAIR VS CARDS
JTs4647.3%-2.7PAIR VS CARDS
QTo4750.7%+0.7COINFLIP
K6s4952.1%+2.1PAIR VS CARDS
A4o5067.1%+17.1PAIR VS CARDS
Q8s5150.6%+0.6COINFLIP
K8o5254.1%+4.1PAIR VS CARDS
A3o5369.4%+19.4PAIR VS CARDS
K5s5452.4%+2.4PAIR VS CARDS
J9s5548.4%-1.6PAIR VS CARDS
Q9o5652.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
JTo5749.5%-0.5COINFLIP
K7o5854.3%+4.3PAIR VS CARDS
K4s5964.1%+14.1PAIR VS CARDS
A2o6069.6%+19.6PAIR VS CARDS
Q7s6151.8%+1.8PAIR VS CARDS
K6o6254.7%+4.7PAIR VS CARDS
K3s6366.1%+16.1PAIR VS CARDS
J8s6449.6%-0.4COINFLIP
T9s6547.2%-2.8PAIR VS CARDS
Q8o6653.0%+3.0PAIR VS CARDS
336781.1%+31.1PAIR VS PAIR
Q6s6851.9%+1.9PAIR VS CARDS
K2s6966.5%+16.5PAIR VS CARDS
J9o7050.7%+0.7COINFLIP
K5o7155.2%+5.2PAIR VS CARDS
Q5s7252.1%+2.1PAIR VS CARDS
J7s7351.0%+1.0COINFLIP
T8s7448.6%-1.4PAIR VS CARDS
K4o7568.4%+18.4PAIR VS CARDS
Q7o7654.3%+4.3PAIR VS CARDS
Q4s7764.1%+14.1PAIR VS CARDS
J8o7852.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
T9o7949.6%-0.4COINFLIP
K3o8069.5%+19.5PAIR VS CARDS
Q3s8165.9%+15.9PAIR VS CARDS
Q6o8254.6%+4.6PAIR VS CARDS
98s8347.5%-2.5PAIR VS CARDS
T7s8449.7%-0.3COINFLIP
J6s8552.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
K2o8669.6%+19.6PAIR VS CARDS
Q5o8754.9%+4.9PAIR VS CARDS
228881.1%+31.1PAIR VS PAIR
Q2s8966.0%+16.0PAIR VS CARDS
J5s9051.9%+1.9PAIR VS CARDS
T8o9151.0%+1.0COINFLIP
J7o9253.3%+3.3PAIR VS CARDS
J4s9363.9%+13.9PAIR VS CARDS
97s9448.6%-1.4PAIR VS CARDS
Q4o9567.9%+17.9PAIR VS CARDS
T6s9650.8%+0.8COINFLIP
J3s9765.8%+15.8PAIR VS CARDS
98o9849.6%-0.4COINFLIP
T7o9952.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
Q3o10069.5%+19.5PAIR VS CARDS
87s10148.6%-1.4PAIR VS CARDS
J6o10254.7%+4.7PAIR VS CARDS
J2s10365.6%+15.6PAIR VS CARDS
96s10449.9%-0.1COINFLIP
Q2o10569.4%+19.4PAIR VS CARDS
J5o10654.6%+4.6PAIR VS CARDS
T5s10752.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
T4s10863.6%+13.6PAIR VS CARDS
97o10950.9%+0.9COINFLIP
86s11050.0%+0.0COINFLIP
J4o11167.6%+17.6PAIR VS CARDS
T6o11253.6%+3.6PAIR VS CARDS
T3s11365.1%+15.1PAIR VS CARDS
95s11451.1%+1.1PAIR VS CARDS
76s11549.3%-0.7COINFLIP
J3o11668.9%+18.9PAIR VS CARDS
87o11750.9%+0.9COINFLIP
T2s11865.6%+15.6PAIR VS CARDS
85s11950.9%+0.9COINFLIP
96o12052.2%+2.2PAIR VS CARDS
T5o12154.8%+4.8PAIR VS CARDS
J2o12269.2%+19.2PAIR VS CARDS
94s12363.8%+13.8PAIR VS CARDS
75s12450.6%+0.6COINFLIP
T4o12567.5%+17.5PAIR VS CARDS
93s12665.4%+15.4PAIR VS CARDS
86o12752.3%+2.3PAIR VS CARDS
65s12850.4%+0.4COINFLIP
95o12953.6%+3.6PAIR VS CARDS
84s13063.0%+13.0PAIR VS CARDS
T3o13168.6%+18.6PAIR VS CARDS
92s13265.7%+15.7PAIR VS CARDS
76o13352.0%+2.0PAIR VS CARDS
74s13462.0%+12.0PAIR VS CARDS
T2o13569.2%+19.2PAIR VS CARDS
64s13661.1%+11.1PAIR VS CARDS
85o13753.6%+3.6PAIR VS CARDS
54s13860.0%+10.0PAIR VS CARDS
83s13966.3%+16.3PAIR VS CARDS
94o14067.9%+17.9PAIR VS CARDS
75o14153.1%+3.1PAIR VS CARDS
82s14266.5%+16.5PAIR VS CARDS
73s14366.3%+16.3PAIR VS CARDS
65o14452.9%+2.9PAIR VS CARDS
93o14568.9%+18.9PAIR VS CARDS
53s14666.2%+16.2PAIR VS CARDS
63s14766.4%+16.4PAIR VS CARDS
84o14866.7%+16.7PAIR VS CARDS
92o14969.1%+19.1PAIR VS CARDS
43s15082.5%+32.5PAIR VS CARDS
74o15165.6%+15.6PAIR VS CARDS
54o15263.5%+13.5PAIR VS CARDS
72s15367.1%+17.1PAIR VS CARDS
52s15467.0%+17.0PAIR VS CARDS
64o15564.6%+14.6PAIR VS CARDS
62s15667.1%+17.1PAIR VS CARDS
83o15770.0%+20.0PAIR VS CARDS
42s15884.4%+34.4PAIR VS CARDS
82o15969.8%+19.8PAIR VS CARDS
73o16069.8%+19.8PAIR VS CARDS
53o16169.5%+19.5PAIR VS CARDS
63o16269.8%+19.8PAIR VS CARDS
32s16383.2%+33.2PAIR VS CARDS
43o16487.5%+37.5PAIR VS CARDS
72o16570.6%+20.6PAIR VS CARDS
52o16670.6%+20.6PAIR VS CARDS
62o16770.6%+20.6PAIR VS CARDS
42o16889.3%+39.3PAIR VS CARDS
32o16987.4%+37.4PAIR VS CARDS

Showing 168 of 168 rows

Related

FAQ

What is the equity of 44?

57.0% against one random opponent, which ranks it 48 of 169. Six-handed (five opponents) it is 17.3%, and nine-handed (eight opponents) 13.1%.

Which hand is the worst matchup for 44?

55, which leaves 44 with 18.6%. Its best matchup is 42o at 89.3%.

How many of the 168 other hands does 44 beat?

It is a heads-up favourite over 138 hands and an underdog against 30. 8 opponents sit within one point of a 50/50 coinflip.

451 words / 39 distinct figures — Method