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pocket pair

99

72.2%
Equity vs one random hand — #6 of 169

A middle pair — frequently chased by two overcards.

Heads-up (1 opponent)
72.2% · #6
6-handed (5 opponents)
26.5% · #13
9-handed (8 opponents)
17.2% · #18
Chen score
9
Combos
6 / 1,326
Dealt frequency
0.45%
Favourite against
163 of 168 hands

99 (pocket nines) wins 72.2% of the time against a single random opponent, which places it 6th out of the 169 starting hands — the top 3.6% of the range. At a six-handed table (five opponents) its equity falls to 26.5% and its rank moves to 13; nine-handed (eight opponents) it holds 17.2% for rank 18. A middle pair — frequently chased by two overcards.

As a pocket pair there is no suited twin; instead there are 6 combinations of it in the deck, so you are dealt it 0.45% of the time (6 of 1,326 two-card hands). The hand ranked one place above is TT at 75.1% and one place below is 88 at 69.2%. Every pocket pair flops a set about 11.8% of the time, so the pecking order among pairs is decided almost entirely before the flop.

Played heads-up against each of the other 168 hands, 99 is a favourite against 163 of them and an underdog against 5. Its best matchup is 92o at 93.7% and its worst is TT at 17.8% — a spread of 75.9 points, which is why calling 99 simply "strong" or "weak" says very little.

99 shares a rank with relatively few hands, so it is rarely on the wrong side of a kicker problem. What does hurt it is running into a higher pair, where the number bottoms out at 17.8%. The table further down lists all 168 opponents individually.

Within the 13 pocket pairs it comes 6 of 13. The strongest hand in that group, AA, is 13 points away, and the weakest, 22, sits 22 points below. Measured against the average equity of all 169 hands, 51%, 99 lands +21.2 points from the middle of the pack, and 5 hands in the full ranking are still ahead of it.

Adding players costs equity steadily: 72.2% against one opponent, 53.8% against two, 32.5% against four and 17.2% against eight. That last figure is 155% of an even nine-way share (11.1%). The Chen formula scores this hand at 9 points, and it arrives 0.45% of the time (6 of 1,326 combinations).

One caveat worth repeating: every number on this page assumes the opponent holds a completely random hand and that the pot goes to showdown. Real opponents hold ranges, and a range that has already put money in is stronger than random — which is exactly why 99 reads as 72.2% here but plays worse than that against a raise. Use the 168 rows in the table below to see which specific holdings are the problem, rather than treating the headline figure as a verdict on the hand.

By player count

Equity by opponent count

From 72.2% against one opponent down to 17.2% against eight. The x-axis is the number of opponents.

0%40%80%72.2153.8241.1332.5426.5522.3619.6717.28opponents
Matchups

Against all 168 other hands

200,000 simulated showdowns per pairing. Opponent names link to that hand's page; the shape column links to the matchup page where one exists.

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99 played heads-up against each of the other 168 hands
Opponent handOpp. rank99 equityvs 50%Shape
AA119.2%-30.8PAIR VS PAIR
KK219.1%-30.9PAIR VS PAIR
QQ318.8%-31.2PAIR VS PAIR
JJ418.5%-31.5PAIR VS PAIR
TT517.8%-32.2PAIR VS PAIR
88781.9%+31.9PAIR VS PAIR
AKs852.6%+2.6PAIR VS CARDS
77981.3%+31.3PAIR VS PAIR
AQs1052.5%+2.5PAIR VS CARDS
AJs1152.8%+2.8PAIR VS CARDS
AKo1255.2%+5.2PAIR VS CARDS
ATs1353.1%+3.1PAIR VS CARDS
AQo1455.2%+5.2PAIR VS CARDS
AJo1555.4%+5.4PAIR VS CARDS
KQs1652.6%+2.6PAIR VS CARDS
661781.1%+31.1PAIR VS PAIR
A9s1866.4%+16.4PAIR VS CARDS
ATo1955.5%+5.5PAIR VS CARDS
KJs2052.6%+2.6PAIR VS CARDS
A8s2167.6%+17.6PAIR VS CARDS
KTs2252.6%+2.6PAIR VS CARDS
KQo2355.2%+5.2PAIR VS CARDS
A7s2467.6%+17.6PAIR VS CARDS
A9o2570.6%+20.6PAIR VS CARDS
KJo2655.4%+5.4PAIR VS CARDS
552781.0%+31.0PAIR VS PAIR
QJs2851.9%+1.9PAIR VS CARDS
A6s2967.5%+17.5PAIR VS CARDS
K9s3065.2%+15.2PAIR VS CARDS
A8o3171.3%+21.3PAIR VS CARDS
A5s3266.0%+16.0PAIR VS CARDS
KTo3355.7%+5.7PAIR VS CARDS
QTs3452.1%+2.1PAIR VS CARDS
A4s3566.6%+16.6PAIR VS CARDS
A7o3671.0%+21.0PAIR VS CARDS
K8s3768.4%+18.4PAIR VS CARDS
A3s3866.6%+16.6PAIR VS CARDS
QJo3954.5%+4.5PAIR VS CARDS
K9o4069.1%+19.1PAIR VS CARDS
Q9s4164.1%+14.1PAIR VS CARDS
A5o4269.4%+19.4PAIR VS CARDS
A2s4366.9%+16.9PAIR VS CARDS
K7s4467.9%+17.9PAIR VS CARDS
A6o4571.0%+21.0PAIR VS CARDS
JTs4651.3%+1.3PAIR VS CARDS
QTo4754.8%+4.8PAIR VS CARDS
444881.2%+31.2PAIR VS PAIR
K6s4967.6%+17.6PAIR VS CARDS
A4o5070.2%+20.2PAIR VS CARDS
Q8s5167.7%+17.7PAIR VS CARDS
K8o5271.8%+21.8PAIR VS CARDS
A3o5369.9%+19.9PAIR VS CARDS
K5s5467.5%+17.5PAIR VS CARDS
J9s5562.5%+12.5PAIR VS CARDS
Q9o5667.8%+17.8PAIR VS CARDS
JTo5753.9%+3.9PAIR VS CARDS
K7o5871.6%+21.6PAIR VS CARDS
K4s5968.1%+18.1PAIR VS CARDS
A2o6070.4%+20.4PAIR VS CARDS
Q7s6168.2%+18.2PAIR VS CARDS
K6o6271.4%+21.4PAIR VS CARDS
K3s6368.1%+18.1PAIR VS CARDS
J8s6467.1%+17.1PAIR VS CARDS
T9s6561.2%+11.2PAIR VS CARDS
Q8o6671.5%+21.5PAIR VS CARDS
336781.4%+31.4PAIR VS PAIR
Q6s6867.7%+17.7PAIR VS CARDS
K2s6968.3%+18.3PAIR VS CARDS
J9o7066.4%+16.4PAIR VS CARDS
K5o7171.1%+21.1PAIR VS CARDS
Q5s7267.7%+17.7PAIR VS CARDS
J7s7367.8%+17.8PAIR VS CARDS
T8s7466.8%+16.8PAIR VS CARDS
K4o7571.7%+21.7PAIR VS CARDS
Q7o7671.6%+21.6PAIR VS CARDS
Q4s7768.0%+18.0PAIR VS CARDS
J8o7871.0%+21.0PAIR VS CARDS
T9o7964.8%+14.8PAIR VS CARDS
K3o8071.6%+21.6PAIR VS CARDS
Q3s8168.1%+18.1PAIR VS CARDS
Q6o8271.6%+21.6PAIR VS CARDS
98s8382.2%+32.2PAIR VS CARDS
T7s8467.4%+17.4PAIR VS CARDS
J6s8568.0%+18.0PAIR VS CARDS
K2o8672.1%+22.1PAIR VS CARDS
Q5o8771.3%+21.3PAIR VS CARDS
228881.7%+31.7PAIR VS PAIR
Q2s8968.6%+18.6PAIR VS CARDS
J5s9067.9%+17.9PAIR VS CARDS
T8o9170.5%+20.5PAIR VS CARDS
J7o9271.2%+21.2PAIR VS CARDS
J4s9368.2%+18.2PAIR VS CARDS
97s9483.5%+33.5PAIR VS CARDS
Q4o9571.6%+21.6PAIR VS CARDS
T6s9667.5%+17.5PAIR VS CARDS
J3s9768.4%+18.4PAIR VS CARDS
98o9886.9%+36.9PAIR VS CARDS
T7o9971.0%+21.0PAIR VS CARDS
Q3o10071.9%+21.9PAIR VS CARDS
87s10181.6%+31.6PAIR VS CARDS
J6o10271.8%+21.8PAIR VS CARDS
J2s10368.7%+18.7PAIR VS CARDS
96s10484.8%+34.8PAIR VS CARDS
Q2o10572.4%+22.4PAIR VS CARDS
J5o10671.2%+21.2PAIR VS CARDS
T5s10768.2%+18.2PAIR VS CARDS
T4s10868.4%+18.4PAIR VS CARDS
97o10988.4%+38.4PAIR VS CARDS
86s11081.8%+31.8PAIR VS CARDS
J4o11172.1%+22.1PAIR VS CARDS
T6o11271.5%+21.5PAIR VS CARDS
T3s11368.5%+18.5PAIR VS CARDS
95s11486.1%+36.1PAIR VS CARDS
76s11580.0%+30.0PAIR VS CARDS
J3o11671.8%+21.8PAIR VS CARDS
87o11785.8%+35.8PAIR VS CARDS
T2s11868.8%+18.8PAIR VS CARDS
85s11981.8%+31.8PAIR VS CARDS
96o12089.8%+39.8PAIR VS CARDS
T5o12171.9%+21.9PAIR VS CARDS
J2o12272.3%+22.3PAIR VS CARDS
94s12387.7%+37.7PAIR VS CARDS
75s12480.4%+30.4PAIR VS CARDS
T4o12572.2%+22.2PAIR VS CARDS
93s12687.8%+37.8PAIR VS CARDS
86o12785.8%+35.8PAIR VS CARDS
65s12879.0%+29.0PAIR VS CARDS
95o12991.3%+41.3PAIR VS CARDS
84s13082.6%+32.6PAIR VS CARDS
T3o13172.1%+22.1PAIR VS CARDS
92s13288.3%+38.3PAIR VS CARDS
76o13384.2%+34.2PAIR VS CARDS
74s13481.1%+31.1PAIR VS CARDS
T2o13572.5%+22.5PAIR VS CARDS
64s13679.9%+29.9PAIR VS CARDS
85o13785.9%+35.9PAIR VS CARDS
54s13878.1%+28.1PAIR VS CARDS
83s13984.3%+34.3PAIR VS CARDS
94o14093.0%+43.0PAIR VS CARDS
75o14184.4%+34.4PAIR VS CARDS
82s14284.2%+34.2PAIR VS CARDS
73s14382.7%+32.7PAIR VS CARDS
65o14482.8%+32.8PAIR VS CARDS
93o14593.1%+43.1PAIR VS CARDS
53s14679.4%+29.4PAIR VS CARDS
63s14781.1%+31.1PAIR VS CARDS
84o14886.7%+36.7PAIR VS CARDS
92o14993.7%+43.7PAIR VS CARDS
43s15079.7%+29.7PAIR VS CARDS
74o15185.1%+35.1PAIR VS CARDS
54o15282.0%+32.0PAIR VS CARDS
72s15384.4%+34.4PAIR VS CARDS
52s15481.0%+31.0PAIR VS CARDS
64o15583.6%+33.6PAIR VS CARDS
62s15682.7%+32.7PAIR VS CARDS
83o15788.4%+38.4PAIR VS CARDS
42s15881.5%+31.5PAIR VS CARDS
82o15988.5%+38.5PAIR VS CARDS
73o16086.8%+36.8PAIR VS CARDS
53o16183.2%+33.2PAIR VS CARDS
63o16285.2%+35.2PAIR VS CARDS
32s16381.6%+31.6PAIR VS CARDS
43o16483.7%+33.7PAIR VS CARDS
72o16588.7%+38.7PAIR VS CARDS
52o16684.9%+34.9PAIR VS CARDS
62o16787.0%+37.0PAIR VS CARDS
42o16885.5%+35.5PAIR VS CARDS
32o16985.4%+35.4PAIR VS CARDS

Showing 168 of 168 rows

Related

FAQ

What is the equity of 99?

72.2% against one random opponent, which ranks it 6 of 169. Six-handed (five opponents) it is 26.5%, and nine-handed (eight opponents) 17.2%.

Which hand is the worst matchup for 99?

TT, which leaves 99 with 17.8%. Its best matchup is 92o at 93.7%.

How many of the 168 other hands does 99 beat?

It is a heads-up favourite over 163 hands and an underdog against 5. 0 opponents sit within one point of a 50/50 coinflip.

432 words / 31 distinct figures — Method